Z’-score and logit models for default prediction: an empirical analysis on post-Covid M&A transactions

Martini, Alessandro (A.A. 2024/2025) Z’-score and logit models for default prediction: an empirical analysis on post-Covid M&A transactions. Tesi di Laurea in Risk management, Luiss Guido Carli, relatore Daniele Penza, pp. 61. [Master's Degree Thesis]

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Abstract/Index

Literature review. Introduction to corporate default prediction. Altman’s Z’-score model: structure and use. Recent literature: evolutions and limitations of the Z’-score. Logistic regression in default prediction. Applications of Z’-score and logit in M&A contexts. Data and methodology. Data sources and sample selection. Description of variables. Computation of Z’-score. Specification of the logit model. Comparison metrics and validation techniques. Empirical results. Quantitative overview of the sample. Sectoral breakdown. Case studies/outliers. Results and interpretation of the logit model. Comparative evaluation and discussion. Robustness and model validation.

References

Bibliografia: p. 59.

Thesis Type: Master's Degree Thesis
Institution: Luiss Guido Carli
Degree Program: Master's Degree Programs > Master's Degree program in Corporate Finance, English language (LM-77)
Chair: Risk management
Thesis Supervisor: Penza, Daniele
Thesis Co-Supervisor: Morelli, Giacomo
Academic Year: 2024/2025
Session: Autumn
Deposited by: Alessandro Perfetti
Date Deposited: 31 Mar 2026 13:28
Last Modified: 31 Mar 2026 13:28
URI: https://tesi.luiss.it/id/eprint/45346

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