The term spread as a predictor for recessions: empirical evidence on the Italian case

Bongiovanni, Nicolò (A.A. 2019/2020) The term spread as a predictor for recessions: empirical evidence on the Italian case. Tesi di Laurea in Quantitative methods for management, Luiss Guido Carli, relatore Marco Pirra, pp. 86. [Master's Degree Thesis]

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Abstract/Index

The yield curve. Fundamentals. Theories behind its shape. Italian scenario. Literature review. Past results. Methodology. Research question. Data collection. The analysis: the probit model. Results. Predicting an economic crisis. Predicting a recession. Predicting a recession with other indicators. Discussion. Interpretation of the results.

References

Bibliografia: pp. 53-56.

Thesis Type: Master's Degree Thesis
Institution: Luiss Guido Carli
Degree Program: Master's Degree Programs > Master's Degree Program in Management, English language (LM-77)
Outstanding Thesis: Department of Business and Management
Chair: Quantitative methods for management
Thesis Supervisor: Pirra, Marco
Thesis Co-Supervisor: Porchia, Paolo
Academic Year: 2019/2020
Session: Autumn
Deposited by: Alessandro Perfetti
Date Deposited: 28 Apr 2021 10:47
Last Modified: 29 Apr 2021 09:15
URI: https://tesi.luiss.it/id/eprint/29240

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