COP30 and Brazil: navigating the gap between ecological ambitions and economic opportunism

Naudé, Gregoire (A.A. 2024/2025) COP30 and Brazil: navigating the gap between ecological ambitions and economic opportunism. Tesi di Laurea in Energy and climate change policy, Luiss Guido Carli, relatore Michele Governatori, pp. 85. [Master's Degree Thesis]

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Abstract/Index

Brazil's dual positioning in global climate and energy governance. The empirical tension: climate leadership and extractive expansion. Theoretical framework: extractivism, energy political economy and structural tensions in Brazil’s climate leadership. Extractivism and resource political economy. Path dependency and historical institutionalism. The political economy of energy transitions. Climate leadership and emerging powers. Conceptualizing structural tension. Historical foundations and structural features of Brazil’s energy model. Long-term extractive trajectories and development of Brazil’s resource-based political economy. Structural expansion of the pre-salt hydrocarbon complex. Hydrocarbons as a pillar of external and fiscal stability. Renewable electricity and energy hybridization. Structural configuration and analytical implications. Articulating ecological ambition within a hybrid development model. Recalibration of climate commitment: NDC 2023–2025. Amazon, sovereignty and justice framing. Cop30 as a strategic climate leadership platform. Institutionalization of climate governance. Institutionalized structural tensions in Brazil’s energy policy. Coexistence of upstream development and climate commitments. Asymmetry of capex and frontier licensing (pre-salt and equatorial margin). Fiscal entrenchment and rent-based coalitions. Institutional layering and managed hybridization. Extractivist resilience and the limits of ecological transformation. Extractivist resilience in conditional perspective. Stranded assets and investment lock-in. External demand vulnerabilities. Global climate governance pressures. Aggregate theoretical perspective. Conditions for rupture. Lula's agenda is under pressure. Beyond resilience to strategy. Reframing the puzzle and answering the research question. Brazil as a hybrid extractive-transition state: empirical contributions.

References

Bibliografia: pp. 80-83.

Thesis Type: Master's Degree Thesis
Institution: Luiss Guido Carli
Degree Program: Master's Degree Programs > Master's Degree Program in International Relations (LM-52)
Chair: Energy and climate change policy
Thesis Supervisor: Governatori, Michele
Thesis Co-Supervisor: Taraborrelli, Angelo
Academic Year: 2024/2025
Session: Extraordinary
Deposited by: Alessandro Perfetti
Date Deposited: 02 Jul 2026 07:52
Last Modified: 02 Jul 2026 07:52
URI: https://tesi.luiss.it/id/eprint/46298

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